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What is the biggest challenge for DAOs?

Unaligned incentives between insiders and outsiders hinder participation.
Insiders control votes, outsiders lack incentives, and DAOs miss out on new ideas.

Unaligned Incentives pattern

Unaligned Incentives

In traditional DAO voting, insiders dominate decision-making, leaving outside investors and contributors without real influence or protection.

Limited Outside Participation pattern

Limited Outside Participation

Outside contributors lack incentives to make meaningful proposals. Most external input is limited to funding requests or partnership proposals.

Missed Opportunities pattern

Missed Opportunities

Insiders struggle to encourage wider participation, missing valuable ideas without proper evaluation mechanisms or effective reward systems.

Meet

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Harnessing evaluation and reward mechanisms to replace majority voting.
Using markets to govern.

Conditional Markets Predict Outcomes

Two markets estimate share prices based on proposal passing or failing. Reflecting potential impacts on value.

Conditional Markets

Investors Buy or Sell Shares Instead of Voting

Supporters buy shares if the proposal passes; opponents sell shares if it passes. Trading actions replace traditional votes.

Buy Sell Shares

Market Prices Reveal Proposal's Expected Impact

Supply and demand determine the price difference. Market estimates quantify the proposal's potential effect.

Market Prices

Choosing What Maximize Shareholder Value

Markets select the option statistically increasing token value. Highest predicted value outcome gets implemented.

Shareholder Value

From Advisory to Self-Enforcing

Starts as an advisory tool complementing governance. Can evolve into a self-enforcing decision-making system.

Advisory System
Pattern Star

Guided by the Inventor of Futarchy

Robin Hanson - Chief Scientific Officer

Robin Hanson created the concept of futarchy in 2000 - using prediction markets for governance. As a professor at George Mason University and research associate at Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, he developed the foundational theory of how markets can make better decisions than traditional voting or expert opinions. His groundbreaking paper "Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?" shaped the future of organizational governance.

"To embed such markets in the core of our form of government, we could 'vote on values, but bet on beliefs.'"
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Major events shouldn't surprise us.
Neither should their impact.